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One poll said 26% of Clinton Dems will be going McCain but I think it may be 30 to 35%. We can grumble about McCain and we WILL fight with him as President but he is acceptable. Many Clinton Dems hate Obama with a passion.

A little extrapolation on the Hillary effect - If 26% of her primary voters (those would be the ones that harbor ill feelings) do not vote for Obama and half of them vote for McCain, that would come to approximately 2.5 million votes in the general election that would go to McCain and another 2.5 million that won't vote for Obama (not vote at all for POTUS).

That comes to a swing of 7.5 million for McCain. That would be HUGH and SERIES! My guess is a total swing effect of about 2 million which should enough to offset fraud, increased dummie turnout and increased AA turnout. From there it is up to McCain to hold the pubbies and independents that Bush got in 2004.

Good analysis.

I think a lot of the Hillary ladies will hang in there for McCain thanks to McCain picking Palin. Male Clinton voters in alrge numbers should go to McCain.

The Clinton voters really believe they were robbed and it appears it was ACORN and Obama robbing them. The MSM brushed it off as a story but the Clinton people know what happened.

Obama stole their Dem Party too. This is their last chance to stop him and voting McCain in the hopes Hillary runs in 2012 is the right approch for them.

Florida Democrat Primary 2008 (the votes the DNC did not want to count). The last column is delegates.

2008 FL Primary
Hillary Rodham Clinton 870,986 49.8% 52.5
Barack Obama 576,214 32.9% 33.5
John Edwards 251,562 14.4% 6.5
Joseph R. Biden Jr. 15,704 0.9% 0
Bill Richardson 14,999 0.9% 0

Hillary whipped Obama’s arse in FL. A lot fo those Hillary voters are either staying home or voting McCain.

Obama will lose a lot of votes to Blue Dog white Dems in North and Central Florida who are probably also NRA members. Obama will get fewer Jewish voters than Kerry too. Possibly a lot fewer.