2)Whatever McCain does, or doesn't, do, the internals I keep seeing on individual polls cannot accumulate to an Obama win: he's trailing Kerry's pace among Catholics, behind Kerry among Jews by 15%, behind Kerry in key parts of OH (Montgomery Co., where he's 2% behind), actually behind Kerry a little bit among blacks (!!)---and way behind Algore among blacks---and barely even among independents.
No Dem can win with these kinds of internals, I don't care what the "big polls" show.
I’ve never seen or heard anything that suggests he’s behind either Kerry or Gore with blacks and that seems rather impossible. Do you have a source for that one?
You do have to factor in though where the race is being fought. The fact that we are having to run ads, spend money, and make visits in my state of North Carolina is a bad thing. This is a state that is never in contention this late. Same with Virgina. That is looking to be a tough fight at this point what with the states changing demographics. At the moment the states that both are contesting hard tend to be states that went red last time and a lot of those are big states. Don’t look to the big polls. Follow the McCain money.
“No Dem can win with these kinds of internals, I don’t care what the “big polls” show.”
In addition to that, the polls out today show Hussein’s lead has shrunk to 1 or 2 points.
Both candidates are completely unelectable on their own merits. Wasn’t that long ago that FR was a bastion of anti-McCain rhetoric, turned ‘round only by Sarah. BHO has a great suit, with nothing in it. The only thing that makes either candidate viable to any degree is the equal inanity of the other - and they’re running neck-and-neck in the process.
Sure McCain can’t win.
Neither can Obama.
Thing is, one of ‘em has to.
I hope you’re right, but I just have to say it: Remember ‘06.
Obama has been above 50 percent in some polls. That indicates to me that he probably HAS closed the deal, or very nearly so. He and a democratic Congress will have a devastating effect on the country they secretly hate. Wait till we all see what they do to try to turn us into a country they can love.