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To: PapaBear3625; ken21

Do either of you have sources/links re these breakeven price points?

Thanks.


17 posted on 10/06/2008 4:35:12 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (If you don't vote, you don't matter.)
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To: SaxxonWoods
I found something earlier and didn't save the link. A large component of producers costs are taxes, which the Russian government refuses to lower.

In any event, the lowering price of oil is doing a number on the Russian economy. From Pravda back in Sept 9, as the price slump was getting started :

The Russian stock market went lower than 1,400 points due to the reduction of the oil prices and the ongoing of outflow of capital, which investors currently conduct. Finance Minister Aleksei Kudrin added more fuel to the fire when he said that Russia’s oil companies would not be provided with an additional reduction of tax burden.

The RTS index dropped by 7.51 percent to 1,395.11 points. This level was previously reported in June 2006. MICEX index dropped by 9.08 percent to 1,158.07.

The price of a barrel of oil reduced to $104.23, having lost $1.25 in comparison with Monday.

Rosneft’s shares slipped by 9.54 percent, Gazprom – by 8.47, Lukoil – by 9.29 and Surgutneftegaz – by 6.16 percent.


27 posted on 10/06/2008 5:25:13 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell)
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To: SaxxonWoods
Here's something. From Wall Street Journal Sept 18, 2008 "A Run on Russia"
Each of the past three days, the Russian central bank injected over $10 billion into the money market, and also moved to prop up the ruble. The Kremlin yesterday lent the country's three largest banks $44.9 billion. Thanks to the oil and gas windfall of the past few years, Russia has built up a $573 billion reserve war chest that can tide the financial system over for a while and avoid a rerun of the 1998 crisis.

Not forever, especially if oil prices continue their fall. Russia's economy is hugely dependent on natural resources. In good times, the Kremlin pocketed the billions and didn't worry about pushing economic reforms. The outside investment needed to diversify was discouraged by the Kremlin's backsliding on the rule of law. Now the drop in crude prices is squeezing the country's blue chips and the Kremlin's coffers, even though on the current budget the Russian state will break even with oil at $70 a barrel or above.


28 posted on 10/06/2008 5:33:41 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell)
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