Posted on 10/06/2008 6:33:32 AM PDT by CatOwner
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This is the highest level of support ever recorded for Obama and is his largest lead of the year. It also continues a remarkable twenty-five days in a row where the Democrat’s support has never declined by even a single point. The Democratic candidate has gained six full percentage points of support since Lehman Brothers collapsed to start the Wall Street mess ...
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“Do we have to remind ourselves every day that these polls are unreasonably weighted in favor of the dems?”
When you see party ID weighting you disagree with you look at the TRENDS within that methodology. The trends here are not good, even if we disagree with how Rasmussen decided to assign party ID this year.
I so agree with you! The fact that everyone is only talking about Palin makes McCain look negative....This really needs to stop as it is huting us big time at this point. Time for McCain to get some sound bites and send Sarah to small town america for a few days....Don’t get me wrong I love her but this is going to bite us.
His sample is 33% Republicans, against 27% Independents, and 39% Democrats. What BS.
Obama is sinking like a rock, and Rassmussen is trying to pull him back up.
Is it truly 27% undecided? Because that is a real ray of hope. (I thought it was 18)
I will never believe all these undecideds will go obama.
I think that we have always seen polls change direction slowly. It’s like trying to turn an ocean liner around. It takes awhile. People are still fixated on the economy, but the public has a short attention span. I believe that some people who may tell pollsters that they are for Obama, are reacting to the economic news. When the shock of the economy wears off they will look at whatever is in front of them. That is why I think the Ayers, Wright, etc. attacks are important. This is stuff that the average voter understands. The economy and Keating 5 is stuff that is complicated. I honestly think that this time next week we will see Obama’s lead in this poll drop by half at least. Maybe I’m being too optimistic, but we shall see.
There is NO WAY the current economic news can be negative for Obama. For your average John (or Jane) Schmoe, Wall St = GOP, and no evidence to the contrary will penetrate.
So, the current trouble will be blamed on Bush, and by extension on McCain.
problem is that should’ve been done weeks ago....it may be too late now and they’ve got no one to blame but themselves...
Yep the Republicans have lost this election and from now on it will be painful to watch.
We agree, you say??
You want McCain to LOWER Sarah’s visibility?
We don’t actually agree at all.
Does anyone remember what the Rasmussen polls showed in 2000 and 2004??? Or...I guess the better question is...who had the most accurate LONG TERM polls???
In this case for Obama to get 52% means that he got 90% of the democrats (highly unlikely), 10% of the Republicans (highly inlikely) and 50% of independents (possible).
If Obama is getting 90% of the democrats then this puts him in the same category as Kerry and Gore. However based on the bloody democrat primaries, many angry Hillary Clinton supporters, and white democrats from the blue collar class who will not vote for a black person, it is impossible that Obama is getting the same percentage of democrats that Kerry and Gore got. He will be lucky if he get 85% of the democrats and most probably it will be like 80 to 82%.
If he is at 80% of the democrats voters and assume everything else is the same as above then he will 48% of the total vote.
GW/Battleground changed there TRACKING poll formula to give Obama a 4 point advantage over night .
Yes, read how the lefty at the polling group demanded the formula get changed !
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/battleground_drops_party_weigh.php
These tracking polls with guessed inflated Obama turnout
are a JOKE NOW.
There is nothing to TRACK if GW/Battle, REas and Gallup
changed there FORMULA !!!!!
I am happy with this poll. It will force McCain to attack in the debate. McCain needs to drop ACORN/Obama as what kickstarted this whole economic crisis.
Game over.
Rasmussen Final Tracking poll 2000 Presidential Election.
Bush +8% over Gore.
Final Results: Gore wins Popular Vote.
Good Job Scott, keep using that 6% DEM Sample.
“Rass is sampling 39D, 33R and 28I. Relax folks.”
Seriously, why do they do that??
National politics is a strange animal. You generally get one shot, and that's it. Comebacks are pretty rare things. My sense is that if McCain/Palin lose, they're going to fade away into the shadows. McCain will finish out his term as Senator, then retire. Palin will likely go back to AK and finish her term, then spend time with the family. This is probably the best fit for the runners-up.
Before the flames start, I'm not throwing in the towel, we can still do it if McCain pushes hard enough in the closing weeks (just doing well in the debates isn't going to do it, although he has to do that, too).
I agree. While McCain is getting ripped to shreds, he has been running commercials about how this is a time to come together. What an idiot.
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