When all eyes turn to Ohio on Election night, the only poll to pay attention to will be the University of Cincinnati poll, in my opinion.
Here’s a sampling of their recent work:
2004 Presidential race:
Final University of Cincinnati poll (10/27-10/31)
50.1% Bush
49.2% Kerry
Actual election results
50.82% Bush
48.71% Kerry
2006 U.S. Senate
Final University of Cincinnati Poll (11/01-11/05)
56% Brown
44% DeWine
Actual election results
56% Brown
44% DeWine
2008 Ohio Democratic Primary
51% Clinton
42% Obama
Actual election results
54% Clinton
44% Obama
Then you must be elated over their September poll.
http://www.uc.edu/news/NR.asp?id=8832
McCain garners 48 percent support in the poll of likely voters compared to 44 percent for Obama, with a large percentage of voters remaining less than fully committed as of early September.