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To: paul544

I don’t know if this report is true or not. Here is what I think I do know. For McCain to have a real shot in Michigan, he needs to be leading nationally by about five points. Kerry won Michigan four years ago by about 3.5%, or about six points better than how he did nationally. Moreover, McCain has a better shot at winning Pennsylvania (a bigger prize) than winning Michigan. And even more than PA or MI, McCain may have a shot at winning Wisconsin (the closest state by percentage in the entire 2004 election).

In other words, if he is winning in Michigan on election night, this means that he has essentially won in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and with these two states almost certainly the election. Better to focus his resources on these states as well as red states where Obama is making a serious challenge such as Colorado and Virginia.


146 posted on 10/02/2008 12:11:38 PM PDT by kesg
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To: kesg

Something for all of you to keep in mind. About this time in the election cycle, the polls almost always have the Pubs losing by 5 or so points. And then we win on election day. So, don’t let the polls get you all bent out of shape. We will win.


152 posted on 10/02/2008 12:13:28 PM PDT by flaglady47 (It's crunch time, folks.....)
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