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To: Salena Zito; xzins
“In the sense that if the credit market dries up on Wall Street, capital will be unavailable on Main Street,” said University of Arizona political science professor Robert Maranto. “So no car loans, house loans, business loans and the like.”

Bull.

Banks loan money.

That is what they do.

As long as there are banks, there will be loans. The interest rates may go up to cover bad debts and other risks, but if you want a new car you will be able to get a loan (provided you can prove you have the ability to make the payments).

16 posted on 09/30/2008 1:49:15 PM PDT by P-Marlowe (LPFOKETT GAHCOEEP-w/o*)
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To: P-Marlowe; Salena Zito; WOSG; enat

I agree.

This entire thing is not about out-of-whack mortgages. I’ve check on realty sites, and the national annual rate of foreclosure is not strikingly different than it’s ever been.

It is much worse in California, Nevada, and Florida. I suspect that what’s happened is that the banks made loans in a hyper-inflated market, and THOSE loans cannot be recovered because the house value bubble burst. The banks loaned 300 grand for a house worth 150 grand, but that the bubble had priced by appraisers for 300 grand.

The banks then sold these loans to Fannie & Freddie who bundled them for sale to fiancial institutions. Along come derivative speculators, and then at a MACRO level they paralleled the house-flippers at a smaller level. The house flippers would buy 4 or 5 of these inflated houses intending to flip them for a huge profit in that inflated market. The bubble burst and they got stuck with their 4 or 5 houses that were now worth about half of what they paid for them. They bankrupted.

At the macro level the bundle purchased was suddenly worth half what was paid, and no one wanted to speculate anymore. These folks were left holding worthless bundles, or in the case of derivative speculators, they were left on the short end of a bad bet.

So, in sum if we give money it HAS TO BE at the bundler and higher because the banks have already been paid for the houses by the freddies and fannies and are paid about 25points a year to service the loan. They no longer have interest in those mortgages.

The money, we’re told, is to put credit into the system, but it is money for the benefit of whom? Not the borrower, not the bank because they have been paid by Fannie/Freddie.

Someone up high ate a bunch of inflated house prices that they were gambling on, and now they need money to....????


26 posted on 09/30/2008 2:23:54 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain Opposing -> ZerObama: zero executive, military, or international experience)
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