Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: PhilosopherStones
OK, let's work the example through to see if we are on the same page.

I. M. Prudent (IMP) is a low-income homeowner who bought a $110K home with a zero-down mortgage from Sleazy Banker who bundled and sold a derivative tranched as you suggested. IMP defaults and walks away having paid off $10K. The Fed Bailout Bullies (FBB) purchase the remaining debt ($100K) for $25K. The holder of Tranch A gets it all, with a $5K loss and the holders of Tranches B-D get nothing. Everybody updates their balance sheets. The sheets aren't pretty but the 'toxic paper' is resolved.

Now FBB need to either sell the property for (hopefully) more than $25K or end up eating management/security costs until they can. Some of these sell reasonably quickly and FBB recovers their costs and maybe makes a small profit. Others are in depressed areas and are vacant for a long time. Vandals break in and strip out all the copper from IMP's former house. It then becomes a crack house. Finally, FBB decides to cut their losses and bulldoze the house, sell the land for $10K and have lost $50K in other costs for a net loss.

Is this a reasonable way to view the situation?

70 posted on 09/29/2008 8:43:03 PM PDT by RochesterFan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies ]


To: RochesterFan

Pretty much, except that the worst excesses (again, California Central Valley, Las Vegas and parts of Florida) weren’t really in depressed areas. They were in areas that were experiencing a major population boom (5 million new Californians in just the last few years).

These people still need a place to live. So investors will scoop up those houses at 60% and rent them out to the former owners.

Heck, here in the Bay Area you can’t find a buildable vacant lot for under $200,000 (I know, because I’ve looked), so even land prices are worth 40% of median home prices here even without a house on them.


72 posted on 09/29/2008 8:54:34 PM PDT by PhilosopherStones
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson