To: Chet 99
If you look at just the national polls released today:
Ras: Obama +3
FD: Obama +4
Gallup: Tie
F&M: McCain +2
Battleground: McCain +1
You end up with Obama only being up 0.8% which is much tighter that the RCP average shows. Furthermore, if the polls were weighted at something closer to historical averages, McCain would almost certainly be ahead by a few points.
28 posted on
09/25/2008 10:14:00 AM PDT by
tatown
(How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
To: tatown
The RCP average is being pulled by the OBVIOUS OUTLIER CBS Poll, that had Obama up by 9
54 posted on
09/25/2008 10:20:21 AM PDT by
tcrlaf
(SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
To: tatown
Yes, even if they used the DEM+3 that was the final result of the awful 2006 elections, McCain would be up 2 or 3.
To: tatown
“If you look at just the national polls released today:
Ras: Obama +3
FD: Obama +4
Gallup: Tie
F&M: McCain +2
Battleground: McCain +1”
And that FD/Hotline (sponsored by a liquor distributor) is a very very consistent outlier for Obama. The other polls bounce around a bit, but FD is always, every time, giving Obama higher numbers. Either ALL the other pollsters are idiots or FD is full of crap.
124 posted on
09/25/2008 10:49:16 AM PDT by
cookcounty
("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
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