[avacado]

Rasmussen is weighting it: Dems 39%, Reps 33%.

The 2004 election turnout was Dems 37%, Reps 37%

[snarkytart]

Yes, but for some reason Rasmussen get’s it right in the end, because he had the 2004 election right on the nose using the same Dem vs Repub percentages.

[ncalburt]

Scott Ras knows these percentages are crap . Bambi and his Obama media thugs were crying and screaming during the primaries that Rush was the reason Hillary won all the late primaries .
But Scott just sticks to a his old formula for some reason.
I suspect Scott likes to be a DC insider with all the Lib TV appearances and if your poll shows McCain ahead there is no invite.

[kesg]

Rasmussen is weighting it: Dems 39%, Reps 33%.

The 2004 election turnout was Dems 37%, Reps 37%

And the spread has never been greater than 4 points in any Presidential election since 1988. Still, even if the lead is arguably less than two points, it seems obvious that McCain did not have a very good polling night last night. That's okay. It is going to happen from time to time. The beauty of a tracking poll is that the bad nights drop out in a few days.