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To: IndianPrincessOK

“Hopefully by posting on FreeRepublic at least it stops us from having a heart attack today! Oh, and it should assure all of us that we are correct in the TRUE picture of this election...not one cooked by MSM.”

***
Must ever bear in mind that
most polls harbor 4 systematic flaws:

1. Overweighting Party ID;
2. RVs not as reliable as LVs;
3. Respondents not wanting pollsters to think they’re “racist” (Bradley effect);
4. Non-citizens ... multiple voters ... and the dead are not polled - but do vote.

Each might account for a 2 to 4 point swing.
Only the last one favors Dems.

Therefore, add anywhere from 4 to 8 points for McPalin
to get a truer reading.


38 posted on 09/24/2008 7:21:06 AM PDT by Eleutherios (The All-American Team vs. The Teleprompter Kid)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies ]


To: Eleutherios

Is this why Rush has been saying that Obama must lead by 10 in the polls in order to win?


39 posted on 09/24/2008 8:02:22 AM PDT by HOYA97 (Hoya Saxa = What Rocks)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies ]

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