"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Obama needs a minmum of 90% of his base to win and he isn’t going to get anywhere near that. If he gets 85% on election day he’s going down BIG TIME, many dems will stay home, but the ones who vote McCain are a NET TWO votes, a double whammy.
Kerry got 89% and LOST, no way Obama appeals to the base as much as Kerry. McCain has better appeal to independents than Bush did. Obama will NOT get the same percentage of the female vote that Kerry got, you can bank on that. I really see no way Obama can win. Obama put himself in check choosing Biden, McCain played Palin - Check Mate.
I read somewhere else a few days ago that most of the remaining undecided voters are in voter demographics that are otherwise favoring McCain. If this seems familiar, go back to what happened in 2000. Bush always had a slight lead over Gore all the way to the end, but most of the undecideds where in Gore-friendly demographic groups and in the end they finally broke for Gore.