The Rasmussen poll is more recent. The Mason Dixon one was taken last week, during the height of the financial crisis news.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/blogs/content/shared-blogs/palmbeach/floridapolitics/index.html
A Mason-Dixon poll (see it here) conducted last Tuesday through Thursday and released today shows Democrat Barack Obama with a 47-to-45 percent lead in Florida over Republican John McCain.
A Rasmussen poll taken Sunday and released late Monday showed McCain with a 51-to-46 lead in Florida.
Let’s say Obama is ahead by two. I like those odds in late September at the tail end of McCain’s worst week.
I recall Bush Gore 2K. In the first week in October, Gore had a five point lead.
That’s before the roof fell in.
McCain will win this state.
Best,
Chris