Posted on 09/20/2008 10:06:05 AM PDT by mathprof
Obama has held at least a small margin over McCain in each of the last four daily reports, generally coincident with the start of the Wall Street financial meltdown that began to dominate the news on Monday this past week. Separate Gallup consumer confidence tracking has shown that Americans' views of the economy deteriorated as the week progressed, and that Americans also began to express increased personal worry about their own finances. There is thus a reasonable inference that Obama's gains may, in part, be related to the way in which the public viewed his and McCain's response to the financial crisis. Friday's economic news was a bit more positive, with the announcement of a pending major U.S. government bailout for the country's economy, and the second day of significant increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other stock market indices. It remains to be seen if this will affect Obama's lead in the days ahead.
Obama's current 50% rating matches his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current six percentage point advantage is not as large as the nine-point lead he held in late July and an eight-point lead after the Democratic National Convention in late August. It is important to note that McCain recovered and moved ahead after each of these Obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that McCain could recover in this situation as well.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
I think you are right but I never assume anything. McCain is fine and I’m not worried but we need to make sure we are doing our part. I’m sending some more cash today and heading out to get some McCain/Palin bumper stickers and signs to put up in the area. Also for those of us who are independently wealthy (I am not one of those) there are 527s like Freedom’s watch and the American issues project which have no limits to your contributions and can be highly effective such as with the Swiftboats.
Please explain.
“It all depends on the DEBATES...MCCAIN WILL WIN. BARAK CANNOT USE A TELEPROMPTER. HE SUFFERS FROM ANXIETY.”
You are correct about it all hinges on the debate but I thought Obama could use his teleprompter (loaded with a billion answers off course).
Can anyone confirm if he can or can not it?
“I CAN’T beleive the GOP has not hammered home how the rat wing refused to reform Fannie Mae, etc at Bush’d request...”
I saw a good hammer pounded yesterday in a speech. Much more to come. McCain should call for Barny Frank to step down from chairing the House Financial Services committee. What an utter failure he has been.
The fundamentals of the American economy are sound. We have the most efficient workers in the world. We have a diversified economic base. We are strong on technology, services and can ramp up our manufacturing when need be. We have a strong base of natural resources: coal, timber, gas, oil (if congress would let us drill), and most importantly, the strongest education system in the world.
To say otherwise is to deny all that is right with America. That being said, McCain came out with a great speech on Friday morning. He had deliberate and decisive ideas on what he would do. He provided details. He also has evidence in the Congressional Record that he called this crisis several years ago while Obama was becoming buddy buddy with Franklin Reins at Freddie Mac. McCain called for a specific solution two plus years ago and congress did nothing.
Anyone who thinks Obama is the solution is wrong headed. They naturally say, Bush is president, he is a republican so I guess the democrats are better. Nonesense. Obama said nothing this week. He said, “I have ideas but I don’t want to share them for fear of upsetting the markets”. Darn right. With his 1960’s increase of taxes and social programs he would roil the markets. So he sat there, having breakfast with Warren Buffett and remaining silent...in essence voting prsent. Well guess what America, studying the problem and thinking about it doesn’t work when the market is dropping 500 pts. a day. If this is the type of leadership you are looking for, better bolt all the windows on Wall Street.
The jerks who switch with each new news cycle are probably the jerks sitting at home waiting for the handouts. Self sufficient folks are probably not around when these polling calls come in...they’re at work.
Ten days ago, the same Gallup tracking poll had McCain up by 5%. Does anyone here really believe that there has been a swing of 11%
in that period of time? Of course not. 4-5%, perhaps, but in an election year when many people have already made up their minds, it’s just not likely for the numbers to be so fluid. My 2 pesos, anyway.
I don’t understand, this is not a national poll?
Exactly. Even in a solid Red and reliable state like Indiana (which Bush won by about 20 points),,,Rasmussen shows a Hussein closing to within 2 points (down from 6 in his last poll). Not good,,,not good at all.
“How Liberal Trolls Are Working To Get McCain Elected President (Plus Gallup Poll Analysis)”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/2086161/posts
“So, put it all together, and in the past week Obama has stayed steady or lost support in every party identification group, yet Gallup says his overall support went up four points. And McCain stayed steady or went up in every party identification group, yet we are supposed to accept the claim that his overall support went down by four points? Anyone have an answer for how that is even possible?
Well, actually I do. There is one, and only one, possible way that such a thing can happen mathematically. And that way, is that Gallup made major changes to the political affiliation weighting from the last week to now. Gallup has significantly increased the proportional weight of Democrat response and reduced the weight of Republican response.”
HOWEVER, with the stock market's recent tanking, people look at their 401K's and get scared,,REAL SCARED. This plays perfectly into Hussein's bogus 'change' mantra.
All political issues matter, but people predominantly vote only one primary issue--THEIR POCKETBOOK!!!
That is the ONLY thing that got Slick elected,,,,and the ONLY THING that kept Slick in office,,,the ONLY thing.
If Obama and the Marxist-Leninists behind him take state power there will be no longer a GOP. New leaders will be squashed in the cradle as they are trying to do to Palin even now.
It will be one party rule and there will be purges even in the Dim Party.
Second, this poll from Gallup indicates neither candidate has a clear advantage in the area of the economy.
Gallup seems to think Obama is gaining as a result of the recent mess, but other than daily polls, nothing to support his gains long term.
congradulations...you’ve been quoted on DU...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x7128947
I’m not worried a bit...I work with racist democrats (union)...and I know for a fact that many of them wont vote for a black man.....ever...
When they are polled...they LIE.
This poll is garbage. Gallup is in the tank for Obama. All the other tracking polls show it dead even which means McCain is really ahead by 6-8 points. McCain will get nearly every vote that Bush got in 2004 (which was about 63 Million). He will also get a number of nonideological white women, who would reflexively vote Democratic were it not for Sarah Palin.
In short, the Palin pick has energized the base, which will turn out in at least as much force as 2004. It will add a number of women who would not normally vote and would not vote Republican if they did.
On the flip side, Obama must contend with the Bradley effect and the fact that most of the undecided voters are older white Democrats who will break against him by close to 4-1. All the fishwrap RV polls will not change this dynamic. Oversampling Dems and presuming Obama is a stronger candidate than Kerry or Gore cannot change these demographic facts.
Some of the nervous nellies here need to get a grip. Get out and vote and talk up McCain-Palin like the Gallup numbers are the Gospel, but have confidence that this is going to come out just fine in the end. The real pros know that Barry O is going to be in the audience on January 20, 2009, not at the podium.
Even with the questions, Obama is too prone to “uh...uhm...uh”. And it is scary how many are completely up or down by polls—have you ever lied to a pollster? I enjoyed that on exit polls. The media and pollsters are going to keep this close and varying to keep a job. Or they would assume the relevance they merit in reality and maybe be forced to report the news and have a second job to support them. It is hard to fill 24/7 to keep people coming back.
The constant carping about Palin by the media is reflected in these numbers. It isn’t surprising. I would say 80% of all articles by the media have a negative tone when it comes to her.
That's been the modus operandi of the GOP for as long as I've been around.
>> I didnt see one elected Republican come out
I think you’re on to something. Consider who’s excited about this week’s news and who’s reflective. Let’s not forget who championed the failure’s in Iraq. It’s a negative polling week.
Here’s a great example of where McCain should have deferred to Palin for advice on political response to the events. Thankfully, McCain has the fortitude to attack a problem, but I believe his VP will offer much needed perspective when sensitivities need to be considered.
25% ahead in Tennessee! Love them mountain folk!
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