Posted on 09/19/2008 10:10:03 AM PDT by tatown
“the fundementals of our economy are strong”. WHAT WAS HE THINKING ?
Our margin for error is so small. That one more mistake like that would be damn near fatal.
I agree as momentum is difficult to grab.
Even though McCain seems to have regained some footing the last couple of days, his poll numbers continue to deteriorate. From Gallup’s commentary note that Obama’s best polling day was yesterday:
“Obama’s current 49% rating is close to his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current five-point advantage is still lower than his 9-point lead in late July (following his trip to Europe and the Middle East) and his 8-point leads right after the Democratic National Convention in late August.
...
Obama enjoyed one of his widest advantages over McCain of recent weeks in Thursday night’s interviewing. It will be important to see whether the stock market’s reaction today to aggressive government intervention in the crisis has an impact of the direction of the presidential race over the next few days.”
first off, Likely Voters trumps Registered voters Every time. Second, you can’t overstate the Bradley Effect. However, the GOP has got to fight like these numbers are true. We shouldn’t get overconfident.
no worries. this is the economic panic “bounce,” which goes against the party in presidential power. McCain needs to keep hammering on Obama’s Raines and Dem Congress’s fleeing. Whether or not this gets bigger or gets forgotten — that’s the question.
Why are they still showing registered voters instead of likely?
History has showned that when the investment bankers screw up and people are thrown out of work, they run scare into the arms of the socialists, communists and facists.
McCain spent the better part of this week running scared over the financial problems. He retreated back to his RINOisms and stopped being on the offensive. This is what happens when you do that.
He’s gotten back on the offensive today though. Hopefully, we’ll see Sarah kicking some butt too.
its been a bad week for the ticket...lets just admit it and relax and move forward.
McCain is on point the last two days and things will swing back in our favor.
Do you still think Pennsylvania and MI are pcikings for McCain?
ah-ho
ah-ho
I don’t trust Gallup’s numbers, but the trend is probably right and it shows that the hysterical attacks on Palin are having some effect. She needs to get back on national TV in a big way, before these “extremist” charges start to stick.
Thanks for the reply. Have no fear, FReepers - McCain is on message today, directly linking Barry, Raines, Johnson, et al. He just said, “That’s not country first - that’s Obama first!” And the crowd chants “Nobama! Nobama!”
I suspect we would find that Gallup has failed to allow for the Dem./Rep. swing to the GOP that Rasmussen has captured in his weighing.
Take heart!
I am listening to the Minnesota stream and McCain is stomping Obama.....He is calling him on 2 people involved in F and F. The numbers will change next week. This is just a faux bump for O......he is being revealed today for the truth.
YOU go McCain!!
here is the stream:http://media.myfoxtwincities.com/livestream/web_channel/index.htm
I know someone that has worked for Gallup for years... and she does not trust them. Take it for what you will.
LLS
That’s a part of how it works yes. That’s why after party conventions you usually see these huge spikes at Gallop for the party that finished its convention since more of their members are receptive to calls. That doesn’t mean Gallop is without merit. If people sympathetic to the Mccain/Palin ticket are relunctant to respond that is not good, but only troublesome if it persists.
But this is why I rejected that other poll up by double digits.
Rass is the best poll. If there is an error in the weighting, he usually adjusts it within the month and his polls for three solid elections now have been accurate. Even if people don’t want to hear the poll numbers sometimes, you can’t argue with his results these past years.
Right now it’s basically all tied with slight momentum shifted to Obama because the McCain campaign bungled their response to this economic news and the traditional tendency of the public is to shift Dem on economics. As much as I dislike the bail out by the government, in the short term it may take this as an issue off the front of the public’s concern though. The McCain camp’s repsonsibility is to clean up their reponses and turn it back on Obama.
I still think the debates are critical in deciding this election, McCain’s team just needs to make sure they stop bleeding and ragain balance until then. At that point McCain, Palin, Biden and Obama may well decide the election with their performances at those debates.
Debates aren’t always critical. 2004 they were not. this year they are.
Yes the almighty is the one we run our lives on.. But if Obama wins we are all in for some real bad shiite for at leaste 4 years and if he crowns himself grand Mufti then our country is lost... American people are proving to be the biggest bunch of dolts and morons in the world... NUFF Said.
I love seeing McCain take it to 0bama. When McCain talks, a lot of people are hearing the truth about Barry for the first time, since the media won’t tell people anything but the DNC talking points.
Agree on your analysis Soul Seeker, thanks. Yes we all know that the media are shills for Obama, but I do feel that both McCain and Palin will represent their ideas well. So for good or for bad, the voters should have much better data to make a decision on after the debates.
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