In my experience, they over-forecast storms.
I’ll repeat my earlier comment: none of us is able to judge another’s prospects for safety by reading about it on line. There are too many variables unknown to us.
Are you even paying attention? They UNDERFORECAST the surge from Katrina. By 5-8 feet. People who thought they were high enough from the forecast was telling them died. And this storm has more kinetic energy associated with it than Katrina at her peak. Not only that, forecasters are calling this a freak storm. Which means they don't fully understand it. They might be overforecasting out of caution as a result. But the point it, they got Katrina wrong. Five feet of elevation is not a workable safety margin for this storm. IMO anyone in the map in post #51 who lives in a shaded area should get out. You are dicing with death if you don't.
I’ll repeat my earlier comment: none of us is able to judge another’s prospects for safety by reading about it on line.
Boy, that attituded really worked well in NOLA with Katrina, where over half the people who died had a car in their driveway.
Gawd, how often does it have to be repeated? THEY UNDER-FORECAST KATRINA. PEOPLE DIED AS A RESULT. FIVE FEET OF ELEVATION IS NOT A SANE SAFETY MARGIN.
I’ll repeat my earlier comment: none of us is able to judge another’s prospects for safety by reading about it on line.
I'll repeat my earlier response to that comment. HUNDREDS DIED IN NOLA DUE TO THAT ATTITUDE.