Posted on 09/11/2008 3:08:30 PM PDT by jerry557
Pat Buchanan was on a local talk show (Howie Carr) today and he said that the signs point to an Obama win and right now he would put the odds at 60%. He mentioned Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and Ohio as the swing states. He did say that there will be a backlash against Dems in 2010.
With all due respect to Pat, he’s clueless.
Things are trending TO McCain, and from all the polls I’ve seen, Ohio is in McCain’s corner.
I don’t think Quinnipiac is very reliable....at all.
If I had a penny for every time Buchanan was wrong...
Rasmussen uses voter identification weighting that has a 90-day lag. He "re-weights" the actual poll results to reflect how voters identify their party affiliation in a separate poll.
"Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. Our baseline targets are established based upon survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews). For September, the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated (see party trends and analysis). For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated."
In the last two weeks the unaffiliated has dropped by 12 points, with R adding 8 of the 12.
Draw your own conclusions.
you're slow in the head.
Not that there's anything wrong with that.
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