“McCain is going to win NH, a state where he performed well and Obama performed poorly in the primaries.”
McCain won NH in the primaries because Democratic voters from Mass crossed the border and voted for him (thus prompting Operation Chaos on the Republican side). something tells me those voters will stay home this time around...
Now wait a minute. In 2000, NH went for Bush in a year where he lost the popular vote. Yes, in 2004 NH went to Kerry -- barely -- but NH regarded him as a native son of sorts. Add to this the fact that McCain performed very well in NH in both 2000 and 2008 and Obama did not. Plus lots of Independents in NH, and nationally they are starting to break big for McCain.
NH is alot like NM. In all likelihood, whoever wins the popular vote will win NH as well by roughly the same margin.
And how, pray tell, did they accomplish that? NH has same-day registration, but a domicile in Massachusetts ain't gonna cut it.