Let’s compare this with the Obama bounce. He saw NOTHING until MONDAY, 4 days after his acceptance speech and a further increase on Tuesday which brought him to +8 over McCain in the Gallup and + 5 in the Rasmussen.. It was Wed when his numbers began to drop and if I have this right that also includes the Gallup Poll.
Rasmussen likely voters, Gallup Registered voters. Likely voters far more accurate then Registered only, factor in Bradley factor and it looks like McCain up by about 4-6 points. Of course it’s a snapshot and it’s a weekend poll which always seems to favor libs. Even Rove mentioned this on O’Reilly last Monday evening and said then he expected the Obama lead to begin fading by Tues or Wed of last week and he was dead on.
Don’t forget the built-in Bradley factor. These dolts had Obama easily defeating Clinton in NH (He lost by 4). They had him “closing in” on Clinton in Penn (He lost by 12). They had him “making a race of it” in Ohio (He lost by 11). Etc Etc.
Factor in about 5-7 points in McCain’s favor for every poll going forward.