Basing anything on numbers out of a 3 day holiday weekend is amusing.
All we know is that the post election bump is no accounted for, and its not much. By the same time next week we’ll know where the race stands post the RNC.
I don’t care what race it is, I would never read into a poll taking over a 3 day holiday weekend to reflect an accurate state of anything.
What we do see is the post convention bounce, and its not much of one.
Thank you.
This is going to be a close race in the end. No matter what.
Does it bother me that McCain can never take a lead for longer than a day? Yes, but I still say Obama’s support is soft, especially with white blue collar reagan dem types.
Rasmussen has looked at weekend polling and found no Dem bump up. Neither do I. Here are his numbers:
Leaving out the convention week, the numbers for Monday, August 4th, weekend polling, had Obama +0. That Friday, all weekday polling, had Obama at +1. On Monday 8/11 it was Obama +2. That Friday it was Obama +3. On Monday 8/18 it was Obama +1, on Friday 8/22 it was Obama +2.