Posted on 08/30/2008 8:02:20 PM PDT by charles m
Brash McCain pick of AK Gov. Palin neutralizes historic Obama speech, stunts the Dems' convention bounce
UTICA, New York - Republican John McCain's surprise announcement Friday of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate - some 16 hours after Democrat Barack Obama's historic speech accepting his party’s presidential nomination - has possibly stunted any Obama convention bump, the latest Zogby Interactive flash poll of the race shows. Data from this poll is available here
The latest nationwide survey, begun Friday afternoon after the McCain announcement of Palin as running mate and completed mid-afternoon today, shows McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden.
In other words, the race is a dead heat.
The interactive online Zogby survey shows that both Obama and McCain have solidified the support among their own parties - Obama won 86% support of Democrats and McCain 89% of Republicans in a two-way head-to-head poll question not including the running mates. When Biden and Palin are added to the mix, Obama's Democratic support remains at 86%, while McCain's increases to 92%.
After the McCain "Veep" announcement on Friday, Palin was almost immediately hailed as a strong conservative, and those voters have rallied to the GOP ticket, the survey shows. Republicans gather in St. Paul, Minnesota this week to officially nominate McCain and Palin as their presidential ticket.
(Excerpt) Read more at zogby.com ...
These look a little better
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10
And from the Bush/Kerry race four years ago today.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2004/Pres/Maps/Aug30.html
LOL, this one from AOL is even better!!!!!!
http://news.aol.com/political-machine/2007/12/21/straw-poll-dec-21-jan-4/?ncid=NWS00010000000001
8/23-8/25....PA
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=53623918-86bc-4c32-a746-60c4a128cfc3
That AOL poll is even more worthless than this silly Zogby poll
Folks- any poll done before the conventions are now useless. Absolutely worthless
yeah, it’s worthless... thats why I gave it a big LOL
Except our side shouldn't be in Bolshevik red.
look on the bright side, it could be pink... =oD
perhaps, but I do not know a single person who changed their mind because of the convention. Now because of Sarah, well yes indeed:)
Dead cat bounce for Obama! But I wouldn’t put it past Zogby to make Obama look like the come back kid...
There’s no doubt Hussein got a bounce of about 5-6 points... At or just above average... They started at exactly even
The AOL poll isn’t a scientific poll, and has always favored Republicans. In 2004 Bush won 48 states in the AOL poll. It’s nice that McCain is doing even better, but I’m not sure that it really means anything.
Barr is more likely to drive McCain to the left on some important issues than to the right. If he drives him anywhere, which I hope not, that is.
The overall margin of error in this poll is 2.2% it is an online panel, not like AOL which is an open online survey
it is a invited panel which is more similar to a phone poll w/o the Caller ID problem.
.... from Zogby about methodology
Zogby International conducted an online survey of [2020 Likely Voters].
A sampling of Zogby International’s online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the US, was invited to participate. Slight weights were added region, party, age, race, religion, gender, education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
If you change the New Hampshire vote in that second map from Obama to McCain (which could easily happen) it ends in a 269 tie for each. Talk about a nightmare. The House of Representatives would then choose the next President.
Drive McCain to the right? As far as politics is concerned, that does not make much sense. McCain is not going to promise to become something he has never been and it would seem pandering and inauthentic.
Please thing these things through. We are not talking politics to personally please you, but politics to win the election.
This is a Zogby Interactive poll. These are notoriously unreliable. For example, a previous one showed Obama winning in Arizona.
This poll is an online interactive poll. Why is this a reason to pop corks? Never mind the question. Symbolism over substance works here too.
Gore won by about half a million votes.
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