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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
...while a Zogby poll released this morning shows McCain — yes, McCain — with a five-point lead.

I'm taking this one with a grain of salt. Imagine a hypothetical pollster. Normally, this hypothetical pollster slants hai polls to favor the dem. So in this situation, he would normally release a Registered Voters poll (which favors the dem) and then move the numbers a couple of points toward the dem with sample selection.

Imagine that this same hypothetical pollster wanted HRC as the nominee. He might just release a likely voters poll on the eve of the convention with a couple of points of secret sauce added to McCain.

I can't imagine this would happen in the real world. But it might.

32 posted on 08/20/2008 10:08:30 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: ModelBreaker
Imagine that this same hypothetical pollster wanted HRC as the nominee. He might just release a likely voters poll on the eve of the convention with a couple of points of secret sauce added to McCain.

Exactly what I was thinking! But the fact remains that there is serious animosity between Obama supporters and Clinton supporters. After a couple decades of national conventions serving as coronation events, such a switcharoo would be like dropping an atom bomb. The Dems would fracture enough that McCain would win in a landslide.

If Billary was to somehow pull this off the images of riots would haunt Election Day.

Final thought: the easy answer to all these problems is for Obama to make Billary his VP and pollsters like Zogby may be trying to assist in creating the pressure.

50 posted on 08/20/2008 10:51:23 AM PDT by torchthemummy ("The stumbles we make (Carter) just point out the path we must or must not take." Irongranpa at LGF)
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