Its time to start thinking about the historical position at this stage. Usually the frontrunner gets out to a lead and then fades into the end. In the rare, recent cases of a blow out, the leader goes into Labor day up at least ten points.
I think the because this thing wrapped up early on the republican side, that Obama got all of the attention coming into June. That put him “top of mind” amongst those people paying the slightest bit of attention.
Now, the “regular” Joe folks are starting to wake up to the fact that there is an election. Most of them are saying, “huh?”
The Dems will lose the average folks when they start talking about taking profits away from a company—any company and redistributing the wealth. Most Americans are for fair play. Windfall profits are not fair play. The average american will see the government taking money away from a company, and figure they are next.
The other thing that I’ve heard a lot about lately is the “Tax Credits” for college and other things. If I were running a private college and I knew that most of my parents are going to get a $4,000 tax “Credit” (not deduction), the first thing I would do is raise my tuition $4,000. Most Americans realize that is exactly what will happen.
My guess, from 80 days or so out....this ain’t gonna be close.
Race aside, Obama is a far left candidate and the country at large is just not as far to the left as Obama. There are a multitude of other reasons I agree with you. I suspect Obama will lose badly.
As a University faculty member, I absolutely agree that we would raise tuition and fees by at least $4000 if this bill were passed. I'm not sure I agree that the American people are smart enough to realize this though -- at least not enough of them to prevent a bill like that from passing.