Geeezz, at least wait until the majority of America (Of the 10% that actually follow politics.) has seen both candidates in the debates and the usual media exposure has settled down before you project a winner.
This election season has not even begun yet. The majority of Americans are still on vacation or busy with the usual Summer distractions.
I know this may sound strange to you, but the bulk of the public is not very interested in politics and still can’t list the names of key cabinet members or who is the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house.
Heck, some can’t even give you the name of the Vice President.
Every Democrat since 1988 has been up by 15 points at this point.
Obama just lost 10 in the past 2 weeks in national polls.
And every state poll shows McCain either winning or breathing down Obama’s neck.
Are you wanting Obama to win?