Thanks for posting the chart. Cogitator is going to bet me that the next El Nino will exceed 1998 by 0.1 degrees or roughly 0.9 on your chart. Ok, well, he hasn’t quite agreed to that yet. He may try to substitute GISS for satellite measurements; not acceptable. He may weasel a little on the size of the El Nino; fair enough, I’ll give him an even 0.8