I don't know what you want me to say.
If you're right, then we've all just heard from the 44th President of the United States.
If we use the debates as the focal point, yes Obama will be the next President. It is going to take a scandal or something else to derail Obama who has the money, organization, and energized base to win. Wait until after the Dem convention and see how far ahead he is in the polls.