Why would you broadcast an October surprise in May? Doesn’t it lose its impact? Doesn’t it allow the Dems to take another path? Why the warning shot?
“Why would you broadcast an October surprise in May? Doesn’t it lose its impact? Doesn’t it allow the Dems to take another path? Why the warning shot?”
(1) Because the CAUSE of the October Surprise needs time to circulate. If I posted this in October, it might not spread widely enough to stop Obama’s momentum.
(2) The Dems don’t have another path at this point. If the superdelegates give the nomination to Clinton, enough of Obama’s constituents will be so angry that they will sit out the election. (Remember that Toricelli stepped aside voluntarily, and was not forced out.)
To put it another way, I never tell my adversary what I am going to do unless I am sure he has no defense against it. I’m quite confident that there is nothing Obama’s camp can do about this issue.