all traders know that crowds are usually either really right or really wrong.
Those German crowds were really spot on as regards Hitler and the Nazis...
Most polls have the Democratic nominee winning in November, some handily, but here's a prediction you can bet on: John McCain is at nearly even odds to win the popular vote, at a 46 percent likelihood, up from the mid-30 percent range in the summer. This is the latest spread from the Iowa Electronic Markets, where traders put their money where their mouths are, says the Wall Street Journal.