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If winning the Governorship in LA was a big deal for Republicans nationwide then why is the liberal ahead in this race? And if he really is ahead and manages to win, then why is THIS race a harbinger of things to come when the much more high profile Governors race was not?

There has been a lot of happy talk by the McCain supporters about the upcoming election. The reality is that all signs point to a huge Dem victory. With 30 Reps retiring from Congress this year and the early Dem wins in picking up seats from the Hastert retirement and possibly this one, there is plenty of reason to worry.

The Stupid Party nominated its maverick as its standard bearer. Once the focus is on the general election and McCain starts spouting off on comprehensive immigration reform, global warming, closing Gitmo, etc., Rep turnout is going to be depressed. And the Dems WILL emerge with a unified party with Obama as the nominee and possibly Hillary as the VP. All of the turmoil and infighting in the protracted Dem primaries will serve the Dems in good stead as they set records in participation and generated voter networks in state after state.

Elections like these are the canaries in the coal mine.

why is THIS race a harbinger of things to come when the much more high profile Governors race was not?

Straw argument.
Losing a long held GOP seat is a bad sign no matter what other arguments you bring in.

Ping me after election day in November if I am all wrong.