Right now Obama has 1491 pledged delegates to Clinton's 1332. There are 430 remaining pledged delegates up for grabs.
If Clinton were to win every remaining race by the 63% to 27% lead this poll shows her to have in KY, she would get 271 delegate and Obama would get 159.
That would make the totals 1650 for Obama, and 1603 for Clinton. So if Clinton wins every remaining primary by this very large margin, Obama still has a lead of 47 pledged delegates.
With the superdelegates Clinton has a slight lead of 257 to 236 for Obama, with 302 undecided.
Even if Clinton were to pick up 63% of the pledged delegates, she still needs to pick up 165 of the remaining undecided superdelegates, or 55% in order to win the nomination. Despite her strength with the Democratic elite, she's only managed to pick up 52% of the ones that have declared so far.
It's not impossible for her to win the nomination, but she needs pretty much a 2 to 1 victory in the remaining states, plus she needs to convince a similar percentage of the remaining superdelegates.
For that to happen, were going to need something that has a lot more effect on Obama than Wright has so far.
Obama is losing favor with more moderate voters, but the far left is large and powerful in that party, and Obama's association with Wright and Ayres doesn't bother them.
The media isn't covering for Clinton. Just look how Bill has been neutralized in the campaign so far.
Clinton has a deep bag of dirty tricks, but her modus operandi has typically required having the press on her side, and while she obviously has followers among the press, her opponent has an equal or larger number of advocates among the press corps.
It seems extremely likely that she is going to come up short.
As for Operation Chaos. It has been a successful marketing campaign for Rush, but little more.
Exactly, that is what people need to realize. The far left is firmly in control of the democrat party. Obama is their man and they could care less about Wright and Ayres. The only way Clinton takes this is with help from the superdelegates.
It is impossible for Obama to be the nominee at this point.
Stop analyzing the hole in the sand, the tidal wave is going to hit shore any second!