Prediction: Hillary will drop out of the race before the convention to avoid a bloody fight. The DNC will make her an offer she can’t refuse.
Above is a variation of my prognostication. And you could be right.
Two major things here, and don't think, as Rush pointed out this past Friday, that Hillary and some powerful Dems aren't holed up somewhere working out scenarios that will work...first, my assumption is that Obama is unelectable. I understand that right now the polls are over the place but generally, they're going down for Obama. This could be temporary if Obama can change the subject and just tween you and I, passport files and a bearded Governor Richardson ain't gonna do it. I don't think Obama gets over Revrun Wright save possibly disowning him completely and with fervor, and then he loses the black vote. So I assume that Obama is unelectable due to the Revrun Wright and his follow-up comments about his white grandmother. White people, like it or not, are STILL the majority in this country and few of them, shoot me, are going to pull the lever for this man and his perceived, at best mistrust of white people, at worst, his outright hatred of white people, including his grandmother. So to assume that Obama gets the nomination is to assume the Dems will nominate a totally unelectable candidate. With the Clintons chomping at the bit? I don't see it. Where I could be wrong is that Obama is, in fact, NOT unelectable and that's not at all clear just yet. I think so but on that point I'm a little skittish.
Second, there is the matter of not totally alienating the black base the Dems have abused for so many years. So, Kabar, your scenario could also work. The thing here, the Dems have to get rid of an unelectable Barack Hussein and put up the Hill, and to do so in a way that keeps the African-Americans so supportive of the Dems through the years, HAPPY!
The bigger debate here, as I see it, is whether or not Barack is so damaged as to be unelectable. Because I simply will not buy for one second that if he is unelectable that the Dems will nominate him anyway. Thus you can believe that the Clintons and Dem poohbahs are watching the polls closely, they're likely polling themselves to see how it's playing out, focus groups across the country are being formed. And once it's evident that Barack can't win, IF such a thing is evident....the Clintons and the Dems who don't necessarily even like the Clintons, aren't going to throw the entire Dem party under the bus along with Barack's white grandmother.