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Will conservatives back McCain?
Atlanta Journal Constitution ^ | 3/2/08 | AARON GOULD SHEININ

Posted on 03/01/2008 3:04:41 PM PST by Oshkalaboomboom

John McCain could officially wrap up the Republican presidential nomination Tuesday, and he'll celebrate in Atlanta on Thursday.

As the GOP establishment in Georgia begins to align behind the presumptive nominee, trouble still lingers among some conservative voters who doubt McCain's bona fides.

Those skeptical voters ultimately could determine McCain's fate. Do they stay home? Do they vote Democrat instead?

Tom Nesbitt is not sure what he's going to do. A retired postal worker from Turner County, the 66-year-old Republican voter said he's "disgusted" with his party in general and McCain in particular.

"I have not yet decided whether I will, at the last moment, vote for McCain, sit this one out or, out of complete disgust for the Republican Party's lack of consideration, vote for another candidate," Nesbitt said.

McCain, an Arizona senator, is expected to pass the delegate threshold to secure the nomination after Tuesday's primaries in Ohio and Texas. Although former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee remains in the race, McCain has a lock on the top slot on the ticket.

Huckabee won Georgia's Feb. 5 primary, in part because of his strength among evangelical voters, many of whom look at McCain with dismay.

Still, some say conservatives' ire toward McCain has been exaggerated and that he has been unfairly painted as a moderate or liberal by the media or by those who simply don't like him.

In Georgia, at least, it seems unlikely that apathy among conservatives toward McCain could trigger a Democratic victory. Georgia last went for a Democrat for president in 1992 and has been trending Republican ever since.

Besides history, McCain has other reasons for optimism in Georgia.

First is Thursday's $1,000-a-plate reception at the Westin Buckhead with host Gov. Sonny Perdue, who did not endorse a candidate in the primary. Joining Perdue on the host committee are nearly every top elected Republican in the state, including Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle, who also did not endorse in the primary, and House Speaker Glenn Richardson (R-Hiram), who backed McCain after first choice Rudy Giuilani dropped out.

McCain also has the support of Johnny Isakson and Saxby Chambliss. The state's two Republican U.S. senators endorsed their Senate colleague late in the primary campaign, while most U.S. House members went for Huckabee or Mitt Romney. Chambliss is on the ballot in November, too, and it will benefit him to have a strong presidential candidate above him, so Chambliss will be expected to work to bring conservatives back into the GOP fold.

Alec Poitevint, who led McCain's Georgia campaign, said there's no question the GOP will unite behind McCain.

"Absolutely," Poitevint said, "he's a proven leader in a difficult time. And he's the right man to be president now, and I think our people in Georgia understand that."

The primary season is over, he said, and Republicans typically put aside their differences for the good of the party in November.

Shawn Davis, who led Huckabee's Georgia campaign, agrees.

Huckabee will eventually give way, Davis said, and the Arkansan's supporters will back the nominee.

"We believe to win in November it's imperative to have a conservative on the ticket," Davis said. "Once Governor Huckabee releases his 51 delegates to McCain, presumably after his last stand in Texas (on Tuesday), you will see all Georgia Republicans unite strongly behind John McCain."

Some conservatives' anger toward McCain lingers.

A recent report from the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life found that 78 percent of white, born-again Protestants voted for George W. Bush over Democrat John Kerry in 2004. But, wrote John Green, Pew's senior fellow in religion and American politics, McCain "may have some trouble achieving that level of support from white evangelicals given that a majority of them preferred other candidates in the primaries."

If the race is close, a drop in support from such a key component of the Republican base could be damaging.

Exit polls taken from the Georgia primary give McCain reason for concern. He lost badly to Huckabee, and in some cases to third-place finisher Romney, among those who identified themselves as either somewhat conservative or very conservative. Among Republican voters who said they chose a candidate who shares their values, McCain got 15 percent, compared with 51 percent for Huckabee and 31 percent for Romney.

Don Neunaber, a physical therapist in Lilburn, looks at his choices in November and is conflicted.

"I haven't yet decided whether I can vote for McCain," Neunaber said. Note the use of the word "can." It's not "whether I will vote" for McCain. It's "whether I can" vote for him. That difference indicates a deeper, more personal level of frustration.

Neunaber finds the choice excruciating.

"I am faced with a real dilemma as a Republican," he said. "I am stuck between adversaries."

Such strong feelings stem from a series of frustrations and perceived betrayals. Neunaber specifically mentioned McCain's support for the failed immigration bill that many conservatives considered amnesty for illegal immigrants.

In the face of loud and angry response from many voters, McCain backed off his support for the measure. But, Neunaber said, McCain later told a television interviewer that he would sign a similar bill if elected president.

"He's playing to conservatives, trying to move to the conservative side, but he's not that much of a conservative when it comes down to it," Neunaber said.

Others criticize McCain for his sponsorship of campaign finance reform they say stifles the political power of pro-family groups. Others, such as the powerful Club for Growth, don't like his economic policies.

Helen Slater of Marietta, a secretary at Lockheed Martin Corp., voted for Romney in the Feb. 5 Georgia primary. Romney dropped out shortly after finishing third here. Slater will vote for McCain in November.

"Although he certainly is not my choice for the Republican nominee, I still feel like he is the lesser of three evils," she said, noting that the other two "evils" would be Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

Jim Beck, chairman of the Georgia Christian Coalition, said more and more Republicans displeased with McCain will come to the conclusion that McCain is the best option available to them.

"You're already seeing it," Beck said. "Based on our e-mail traffic, some Huckabee people are waiting (to publicly back McCain) out of respect for him. At the end of the day, you have to pick between imperfect people."

McCain was not Beck's first choice. That becomes less important in November, he said.

"Look at the alternative," he said.

Plus, Beck said, McCain could gain independents and moderates to offset any loss of conservatives.

"McCain offers appeal to swing voters that would not have been the case with Huckabee or Romney," Beck said.

In the end, however, "I don't think McCain will turn off the base," Beck said.

Nesbitt, the Turner County Republican, would disagree.

"I am totally disgusted with them all, and have decided to call myself an independent, and will think twice before ever voting Republican again," he said.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008; amnesty; elections; mccain; quislings; rino; vampirebill; vampirecandidate
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To: All

I honestly believe that if McCain/Huckabee ran as a ticket, they would be unbeatable. Think about it:

You would have Huckabee to bring in not only the southern vote, but the social con/evangelical vote as well.

Then you have McCain who bring in the rest of the GOP plus a significant amount of independents and some moderate dems.

This ticket may well be the most popular ticket in recent history.


81 posted on 03/01/2008 3:48:44 PM PST by ezed72
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
Look at McCain's fundraising compared to what Hillary and Obama are enjoying, and you've got your answer.

I am also impressed at Obama's raising so many small donations. People of modest means who donate will absolutely go to the polls for him. His manager said that he's had over a million individual donations which average $109 each.

This is what we saw from the Joe Sixpacks in the Republican heyday--all the small donations.

Obama has run a near-flawless campaign.

82 posted on 03/01/2008 3:48:50 PM PST by Mamzelle (Time for Conservatives to go Free Agent)
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To: mupcat
If our country isn't safe and strong, the rest is moot isn't it?

Nope.

who was that who authored the bill this guy is marching for?

83 posted on 03/01/2008 3:48:57 PM PST by bill1952 (I will vote for McCain if he resigns his Senate seat before this election.)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
In Georgia, at least, it seems unlikely that apathy among conservatives toward McCain could trigger a Democratic victory. Georgia last went for a Democrat for president in 1992 and has been trending Republican ever since.

Holding Georgia isn't McCain's problem. It's holding all the states that Bush won narrowly in 2004 or flipping some red. I just don't see how he does that.

84 posted on 03/01/2008 3:49:01 PM PST by MaxFlint
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To: nyconse

Yeah briliant move, go ahead and sit out and wait for brother John Birch to be nominated but YOU ALL will be RESBONSIBLE for electing this coke snorting idiot- gay MUSLIM.


85 posted on 03/01/2008 3:49:07 PM PST by libscum
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To: AlternateEgo
LOL! I was thinking the same thing when I finished typing my post. It doesn’t change the fact that I can’t stand McCain, the sniveling little worm that he is.
86 posted on 03/01/2008 3:49:55 PM PST by alice_in_bubbaland (Vote Obama! And we'll be picking shrapnel out of our butts for decades!)
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To: ezed72
That kind of apathy is exactly what is going to lead to a democratic victory in Nov. Not voting or protesting your vote is not going to change who the nominee is nor is it going to ‘teach’ the republican party a lesson.

How do you Know unless you give them the lesson in the first place.

What are conservatives to do? constantly fall for the crap that if we don’t vote for a liberal like McCain the Democrat is going to win.So be it.

If we continue to fall for that the conservatives will always be ignored by the RNC and we will still be in the wilderness.

I’d rather vote for a third party or write someone in than see McCain win.

87 posted on 03/01/2008 3:51:24 PM PST by puppypusher (The world is going to the dogs.)
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To: nyconse

“McCain was selected long before my state got to vote. The primary system gave us McCain-it should be reformed asap.”
_________________________________________________________

Gee, that’s a good reason to make Obama the next President.


88 posted on 03/01/2008 3:51:32 PM PST by AlternateEgo (Fred Thompson for the Supreme Court)
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To: TomGuy

Never mind what the GOP leadership is betting on!
But what do you want for your country


89 posted on 03/01/2008 3:51:55 PM PST by Ulysse (freedom is not free)
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To: ezed72
Not voting or protesting your vote is not going to change who the nominee is nor is it going to ‘teach’ the republican party a lesson.

It will teach them a lesson. It took the defeat of the first Bush to bring us the Contract with America. Republicans will keep betraying us as long as they don't suffer for it. Defeat is the only message politicians understand.

90 posted on 03/01/2008 3:52:38 PM PST by MaxFlint
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To: TommyDale

ROTFL-—I better watch my choice of words.


91 posted on 03/01/2008 3:52:43 PM PST by Liz (I spent $60 million and got one lousy delegate. Rudy Giuliani)
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To: AlternateEgo
> more Supreme Court justices in the mold of Ruth Bader Ginsberg,

Oh please. McCain voted FOR HER.
This type of fearmongering, rather than showing me how McCain deserves my vote all on his own merits, is getting you - and him - nothing at all.

92 posted on 03/01/2008 3:52:53 PM PST by bill1952 (I will vote for McCain if he resigns his Senate seat before this election.)
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To: AlternateEgo
When a political party losses, if it changes the party direction at all, it will tend to drive it toward ‘the middle’ to capture more of the electorate.

And winning with a conservative hating rino will drive the Republican Party which direction?

93 posted on 03/01/2008 3:53:13 PM PST by RJL
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To: katiedidit1
"McCain is the right man for the times"

McCain is the right man for the times doesn't suck quite as much as the other candidate.

THAT's what this country needs - a RINO who doesn't suck quite as much as the democRAT.

Rewarding RINO McAmnesty with the nomination will do nothing but make other RINOs worse.

94 posted on 03/01/2008 3:53:54 PM PST by Slump Tester (What if I'm pregnant Teddy? Errr-ahh -Calm down Mary Jo, we'll cross that bridge when we come to it)
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To: ezed72

“I honestly believe that if McCain/Huckabee”

I said a while back that I hoped these two could be on the same ticket. That way I can avoid voting for them both at the same time.

Talk about scraping the bottom of the barrel.


95 posted on 03/01/2008 3:54:26 PM PST by Grunthor (McCain voters believe that it's possible to pick up a turd by the clean end.)
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To: Grunthor

“Don’t you understand by now that no matter who “wins” in November, there will be a Democrat in the WH?”
__________________________________________________________

If you can’t see a difference between Obama and McCain, then having an intelligent discussion with you is hopeless.


96 posted on 03/01/2008 3:55:59 PM PST by AlternateEgo (Fred Thompson for the Supreme Court)
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To: MaxFlint

“It will teach them a lesson. It took the defeat of the first Bush to bring us the Contract with America.”


No. It took the stupidity and irresponsibility of the Clinton Administration to bring us the Contract With America.

I don’t want to teach the RNC a lesson by suffering for 4-8 years...do you (unless you really think that an Obama/Clinton administration will not be that bad)?


97 posted on 03/01/2008 3:56:04 PM PST by ezed72
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To: lollytyg

McC’s gotta do a LOT more conservative courting-—and he’s gotta shape-up-—before conservatives get in back of him.

PLUS conservatives need very visible positions in his campaign.


98 posted on 03/01/2008 3:56:47 PM PST by Liz (I spent $60 million and got one lousy delegate. Rudy Giuliani)
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To: NHResident

My simple answer is Heck Yeah. Watching these crazy left wing videos of the dummies chanting Obama, you bet I will pull the lever for McCain. Right about now, I don’t care what anybody else thinks.


99 posted on 03/01/2008 3:57:15 PM PST by rep-always
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To: ezed72
Not voting or protesting your vote is not going to change who the nominee is nor is it going to ‘teach’ the republican party a lesson.

Well voting for the a==holes damn sure isn't going to achieve anything except more of the same.

100 posted on 03/01/2008 3:58:08 PM PST by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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