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To: ModelBreaker

Sure!

Have you heard of the Mexican scientist who has been suggesting that global cooling (even NASA has been predicting SC25 as the start of a Dalton minimum type era, others SC24 ... there’s a link to that back in post #120) may yield an 8 decade long mini-ice age?

http://www.rightsidenews.com/200808191747/energy-and-environment/scientist-warn-that-earth-will-enter-little-ice-age-due-to-decrease-in-solar-activity.html

I’m still not revising my investment portfolio to prefer canned beans and shotgun shells though.


406 posted on 08/21/2008 12:15:27 PM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: Rurudyne
Have you heard of the Mexican scientist who has been suggesting that global cooling (even NASA has been predicting SC25 as the start of a Dalton minimum type era, others SC24 ... there’s a link to that back in post #120) may yield an 8 decade long mini-ice age?

Yes, I have. But the article only cites his conclusion. Unless he has made a breakthru in predicting solar cycles of fundamental importance, it sounds like a lot of arm-waving to me. My attitude toward what he says is about the same as my attitude toward the AGW nuts. Show me the data. Show me your model. Show me your model does a good job predicting on data that wasn't known when you built your model. Then show me that it does a better job than simpler models do. Until then, it is all arm-waving. Either of them could be right. But we don't have any evidence that they are. (Caveat. The conclusion I reached about the Mexican scientist was based on a newspaper report. Maybe he has a better basis for his conclusion than my speculation based on that article.)

409 posted on 08/21/2008 2:32:15 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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