Rurudyne's Daily Global Cooling Watch

Brits at their Best ^ | January 31, 2008 | unattributed

[Rurudyne]

Sun's low magnetic activity may portend an ice age

The Canadian Space Agency’s radio telescope has been reporting Flux Density Values so low they will mean a mini ice age if they continue.

Like the number of sunspots, the Flux Density Values reflect the Sun’s magnetic activity, which affects the rate at which the Sun radiates energy and warmth. CSA project director Ken Tapping calls the radio telescope that supplies NASA and the rest of the world with daily values of the Sun’s magnetic activity a “stethoscope on the Sun”. In this case, however, it is the “doctor” whose health is directly affected by the readings.

This is because when the magnetic activity is low, the Sun is dimmer, and puts out less radiant warmth. If the Sun goes into dim mode, as it has in the past, the Earth gets much colder.

Tapping, who was originally from Kent, says that “Typically as you go through the ten or eleven year solar activity cycle you see the numbers go up or down. The lowest number is 64 or 68. The numbers 71 or 72 are very low, but they usually start to go up. We are at the end of a cycle, but the numbers still haven’t gone up. We have been joking around coffee that we may be seeing the Sun about to shut down.” (To date Tapping has been far more concerned about global warming.)





Here is the link to the latest flux report: http://www.drao-ofr.hia-iha.nrc-cnrc.gc.ca/icarus/www/current_flux.shtml

[Rurudyne]

I’ve read the same comments.

Note sure what I’ll do or what I can do ... other than adjust the start of the Gore-Hansen Minimum to the official beginning of SC23. –.^

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 129 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Monday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:05:12

Julian Day Number : 2454599.197

Carrington Rotation Number : 2069.976

Observed Flux Density : 0068.2

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.6

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.7


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

Ze Sun's Vorking Vacachen : Day 130 un de Gore-Hansen Minamum


Dated from de 4th of January 2008 fer no gut rason.


Tuesday Postings


Flux Density Values in sfu for 17:00 on 2008:05:13

Julian Day Number : 2454600.197

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.012

Observed Flux Density : 0068.5

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.9

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.9


Referencing dat posting number 120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 131 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Wednesday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:05:14

Julian Day Number : 2454601.322

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.053

Observed Flux Density : 0069.0

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.5

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.4


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 132 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Thursday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:05:15

Julian Day Number : 2454602.322

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.090

Observed Flux Density : 0071.1

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0072.7

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0065.4


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 133 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Friday Ping


If you want to be added to — or removed from — this ping please contact me.


Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:05:16

Julian Day Number : 2454603.447

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.131

Observed Flux Density : 0071.6

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0073.2

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0065.9





Red is Observed Flux Density. Blue is Adjusted for 1 A.U.


Reference Post #120

[TigersEye]

I’m not getting a real warm feeling from your charts yet. ;^)

[I got the rope]

Three at once....hmmm. Is this a start?

[I got the rope]

[Rurudyne]

Which polarity are they? All sunspots that we are sure of since January 4th have had SC23 polarity.

[I got the rope]

I don’t know that...not my field...but I do find this fascinating.

I’ll check.

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 134 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Saturday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:05:17

Julian Day Number : 2454604.447

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.168

Observed Flux Density : 0071.3

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0073.0

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0065.7


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 135 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Sunday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:05:18

Julian Day Number : 2454605.322

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.200

Observed Flux Density : 0071.6

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0073.3

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0066.0


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 136 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Monday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:05:19

Julian Day Number : 2454606.322

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.237

Observed Flux Density : 0068.9

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.5

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.5


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 137 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Tuesday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:05:20

Julian Day Number : 2454607.447

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.278

Observed Flux Density : 0068.8

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.5

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.4


Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 138 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Wednesday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:05:21

Julian Day Number : 2454608.447

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.315

Observed Flux Density : 0069.0

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.7

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.6


Review Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 139 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Tuesday Update


Flux Density Values in sfu for 23:00 on 2008:05:22

Julian Day Number : 2454609.447

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.351

Observed Flux Density : 0068.7

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0070.4

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0063.4


Tomorrow will be 20 weeks since someone thought they saw a SC24 sunspot. I'm starting to have some small doubts about what I said way back at the beginning (or post #120, whatever): that I don't think we're looking at a new ice age ... well, solar minimum at any rate.

Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

The Sun's Working Vacation : Day 140 of the Gore-Hansen Minimum


Dated from January 4th, 2008, with confirmation of sunspot #10,981.


Friday Ping


If anyone wants on, or off, this ping list please contact me.


Flux Density Values in sfu for 20:00 on 2008:05:23

Julian Day Number : 2454610.322

Carrington Rotation Number : 2070.383

Observed Flux Density : 0067.8

Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U. : 0069.6

URSI Series D Flux, Adj. x 0.9 : 0062.6


... 20 weeks ...

I'm going to start using 6 week charts. That way I'll be able to cover a 6 month period with only 4 graphs before too long.




Red is Observed Flux Density. Blue is Adjusted for 1 A.U.

Reference Post #120

[Rurudyne]

Something odd (or so it seems to me) happened when I was posting that last update. The browser notified me that, along with waiting for the Free Republic’s own systems, I was also waiting for “www.ngdc.noaa”.

The NGDC is the National Geophysical Data Center, a part of NOAA.

The post contained nothing hosted by NOAA. All my graphs are on ImageShack.

Hmmmmmm...

[FBD]

flux density vlaues is starting to look like an alpine ski slope...as opposed to the “hockey stick”!