[Old Retired Army Guy]

Obama will win Tuesday’s primaries but the delegate gap wont close much. Texas, Ohio and PA are the big ones. If she wins them with 5-10% margins, she will go to the convention with the most delegates and popular vote. A lot of Obama’s delegates come from Caucus Red States.

[cgbg]

Obama will win Tuesday's primaries but the delegate gap wont close much. Texas, Ohio and PA are the big ones. If she wins them with 5-10% margins, she will go to the convention with the most delegates and popular vote. A lot of Obama's delegates come from Caucus Red States.

You need to spend some time with a calculator, my Friend.

If Hillary wins Texas, Ohio and PA by 5-10% she will gain less than a hundred delegates because of the proportional nature of delegate selection in those states.

Obama is blowing her out in many other states, and still has some big blowouts to go. Maryland and DC on Tuesday, Mississippi, Wisconsin, probably Oregon, and some smaller western states as well. He leads by eighty delegates selected by caucus goers or voters. _That_ is the number that matters, because the superdelegates will be swayed by their constituents and that figure. I project an Obama two hundred to three hundred non-super delegate lead going to the convention. There is just no way she will win more than three quarters of the remaining super delegates. Her main supporters are already committed to her. The rest are waiting to see which way the wind blows. They will look at two factors--the winner of the non-super delegate delegate count and the polls against McCain.

Obama wins on both counts.

The fact that he is raising more money than he can spend on the remaining races dosen't hurt either.

She cannot win this race--numbers don't lie.

[Safetgiver]

PA are the big ones... GET out of here. It’s so late and Rendell has already picked it, that’s laughable.