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To: TheRealDBear
These are mostly angry white men voting against Hillary.

The updated delegate count is still 542-497 in Hillary's favor. That isn't even counting the super delegates who will break for her at least 2-1. She's also drawn about 500,000 more primary voters than Obama.

A better yardstick is to see who has won the swing states. So far,

Obama has only won Minnesota, Iowa and Missouri

Clinton has won Nevada, New Mexico, Florida, New Hampshire and Michigan-- although Michigan is hard to count since she was the only one on the ballot besides Dennis Kuchinich.

The swing states to be decided are Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, Oregon and Maine.

I predict the nomination will be decided in Pennsylvania and Ohio. Both states are large enough to attract a large number of voters and diverse enough to negate any large angry white male effect. Look at the margins Hillary racked up in California on Super Tuesday. That's a pretty steep hill for Obama to climb.

But the witch is no longer a shoo-in.

35 posted on 02/09/2008 9:14:58 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: Vigilanteman
I just do not know what the dynamic in Pa will be.

If he carries 80% of the black vote and splits the liberal white trash, then he should take pa since most of the black dems power is in Philly and Pittsburgh. - Black mayors.

And I don’t see that happening. - not to say that it can’t, just saying that there is something else in play that I do not see.

74 posted on 02/10/2008 2:36:56 PM PST by bill1952 (I will vote for McCain if he resigns his Senate seat before this election.)
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