Unspinning the delegate math (vanity)

February 8, 2008 | Kurt Evans

[Kurt Evans]

“Do you know how the individual states work with regard to ‘winner take all’ delegates or percentages?”

Not all of them.

“Also, which remining states are closed primaries?”

Maryland, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Kentucky, Oregon, New Mexico and South Dakota.

“I’m trying to formulate a favorable state-by-state scenario.”

We need average victory margins of roughly 20 points in states that allocate delegates proportionally.

[LordBridey]

LOL

[LordBridey]

Thanks for keeping hope alive. Huckabee is still the republican party’s best chance in November. Especially if Obama is the opponent. Huckabee can crush him in debates, match him in speeches, equals, if not bests him in tenacity and energy. He has executive experience, a way more realistic approach on the WOT, and in an election of change is the true outsider, not a Wash. politician, not an Ivy League lawyer. Keep pushing Huckabee. He is, by far the best guy.

[Kurt Evans]

Thanks.

[WOSG]

“You seem to be hoping that with Romney now out of the race, that the conservatives will flock to Huckabee in droves and pull out a victory for conservatism.”

There is that hope, but discerning conservatives have noticed that Huck is a Huckster and not in too many ways better than MCain. they both are nanny-staters at heart, even as they both mouth the conservative platitudes. They both have a soft-on-illegals record, even as they both ratchet up the close-the-borders rhetoric.

” We’ll see. I don’t know yet how I will vote in Texas in March. I don’t have many choices left.”

I am in Texas and I can guarantee this: I will NOT vote for Huckabee, and I will NOT vote for McCain.

[WOSG]

Accurate statement: McCain is the presumptive nominee.
Unless he keels over and dies,
McCain will garner the majority of delegates needed and will be the GOP nominee.

Rush, as usual, is telling the truth.

“HE ONLY HAS ABOUT HALF THE DELEGATES NEEDED TO WIN!”
Quit yelling, you are wrong. He has over 700 delegates and need 1191. He is well on his way.

[LivingNet]

Below is the list of states left with the date followed by # of delegates.
W=winner take all, C=closed primary
Virginia 02/12 63 W
Maryland 02/12 37 C
District of Columbia 02/12 19 W C
Wisconsin 02/19 40
Puerto Rico 02/24 23
Texas 03/04 140
Ohio 03/04 88
Rhode Island 03/04 20
Vermont 03/04 17 W
Mississippi 03/10 39
Pennsylvania 04/22 74 C
North Carolina 05/06 69
Indiana 05/06 57
Nebraska 05/13 33
Hawaii 05/16 20 C
Kentucky 05/20 45 C
Oregon 05/20 30 C
Idaho 05/27 32
New Mexico 06/03 32 C
South Dakota 06/03 27 C

[xsmommy]

i totally agree. i am in VA and i make the same guarantee.

[supercat]

There is that hope, but discerning conservatives have noticed that Huck is a Huckster and not in too many ways better than MCain.

McCain has given indications that he is easily manipulated by Democrats. Has Huckabee given any such indications?

Besides, Step One is to deny the nomination to McCain in the first round. We'll worry about Step Two later.