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"Now we have a situation where conservatives have turned against the RNC and are limus-testing other conservative voters. They want a conservative movement made up of only the purest of heart with the most steadfast of principles...a tiny slice of the electorate."

I don't believe that. Conservatives didn't turn from the RNC. Conservatives are not in the habit of doing a lot of turning. The RNC has done the turning.

Conservatives vote their conservative principles. It's who they are. It's what they have always done. They do so with with as much pragmatism and compromise as they can individually live with, but they are "decided" voters. They are not very malleable. The GOP can move towards them or away from them. It can use their prov-en ideas, or not, but conservatives can't move as much as the GOP. It's not in the nature of who they are. If they could, they wouldn't be conservatives. They know they are not the majority, but they believe they support prov-en policies and that they have a duty continue to do so.

I suspect many conservatives will not be able to make themselves vote for McCain. I might, but I really, REALLY don't want to. He may attract enough anti Socialist votes (which is what mine would be, if I can make myself do it...) to defeat Hillary and Obama anyway, we'll see.

I fear too much of the squishy middle will look at McCain and think "Creepy, Scary, establishment", look at Hillary and think "Scary, Creepy establishment" and look at Obama, and think "well, maybe they won't call us racist any more..."

I agree with much of what you say. However, I think it’s gonna be Cinton and not Obama, depending on how the economy goes.

And don’t forget, the squishies are being squeezed financially.

For the record, your analysis is terrific. Hats off to you!