[GOPGuide]

“But what if McCain wins in 2008?”

I guess it is possible, but it looks really unlikely if you can’t even get Sean Hannity and Limbaugh to push you.

Also, Paul will probably go third party because of McCain’s war stance.

[sourcery]

Also, Paul will probably go third party because of McCain’s war stance.

Ron Paul might actually win, if he goes third party.

[Polybius]

“But what if McCain wins in 2008?”

I guess it is possible, but it looks really unlikely if you can’t even get Sean Hannity and Limbaugh to push you.

On the other hand, I am hearing Independents tell me that they like McCain.

"Very conservative" Republicans only make up less than 4% of the total electorate.

In 2007, self-identified Republicans were about 28 percent of the mass electorate, self-identified Democrats were about 32 percent, and self-identified independents were about 39 percent. Fifty-five percent of Republicans self-identified as "conservative," 26 percent as "moderate," and 13 percent as "very conservative." ...... Now, do the simple math. "Very conservative" Republicans are only about 3.6 percent--28 percent times 13 percent--of the mass electorate. If that just seems too low, consult the American National Election Studies (ANES) and add the 12 percent of independents who lean Republican to the 12 percent who are self-described "weak Republicans" and the 16 percent who are self-described "strong Republicans." This sums to 40 percent of the mass electorate. But that still means just 5.2 percent of all voters (40 percent times 13 percent) qualify as "very conservative" Republicans.

If we are a tail that always expects to wag the dog of America, we will find ourselves as a dead, cut off tail.