Come on people, when will you learn that ARG is at the bottom of the reliability scale for polling?
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Does anyone have a snapshot of the various polls on the day of the respective primaries? (Iowa, NH, Michigan, South Carolina, and Nevada).
ARG was correct about Iowa and NH. ARG was wrong about MI and SC. However, ARG’s tracking polls did show Huckabee gaining ground in SC and Mitt Romney gaining ground in MI. So use ARG as a method to detect trends.