I agree with you that shortly Huckabee will drop. I can’t see him being much of a factor come the big states of Super Tuesday and with no campaign cash to spend on major advertising/workers/ etc.
As to where his supporters will go I really have no idea. Dobson went for Romney and Robertson went for Guiliani if I remember correct.. I honestly have no real feel for how they’d break at this time.
I also think if Guiliani doesn’t win FL he can pack it in and we’ll be left with McCain vs. Romney. McCain is drawing in money based on news I heard somewhere today. Something like $200,000/day and Romney has money to lend his campaign if need be. Also McCain seems to still be doing well in the polls, FL/NY. That has to hurt Guiliani.
Many think this will be a brokered convention. I don’t as I think at some point one of the three, Guiliani, McCain, Romney will break out to secure enough delegates to win.
Politics is a game of expectations, some rise to those expectations while most fall short. Hunter, Tancredo, and Thompson fell short but they tried.
Hunter did not fall short. So called conservatives did.