Any Republican candidate for pres. who does not mobilize the conservative base will lose, and right now the conservative base is angry at McCain
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The conservative base is rather small. If the base cannot articulate why it is angry at McCain in some way other than listing several issues that most primary voters are uninformed about (immigration, CFR, the Gang of 14), he will roll onto win the nomination.
This conservative can certainly articulate his displeasure with moderate Republicans. Taxes, immigration, big government, and abortion. (in no particular order. I’m equally unhappy about moderate policies in all of those areas.)
“The conservative base is rather small.”
It was big enough to keep Bush 41 from getting re-elected, and to keep Dole from winning.