Rasmussen is a mirror site for Intrade. When I was posting Intrade data about Fred, it was shouted down. But the data was still valid. At 0.4% it suggests that Fred’s a bargain, as long as he doesn’t drop out. He could be up to 4% in a matter of days, yielding a 10X return — not bad. His dropout contract leads the pack at 85% for January, 95% for February. So it is a dicey proposition, but putting your money where your mouth is for your candidate can earn you money if you’re right. Good luck with that.
You’re right. Why aren’t the Fredheads pumping money into intrade? The only thing that cost them money would be if Fred Drops out. Come to think of it. Why doesn’t Fred’s campaign put their funds in before they announce they’re sticking it out and double their money?