Zogby: McCain by 3.
Detroit News: McCain by 1
American Research Group: McCain by 7.
As I type, every single one of the major polling companies were way off on what Romney would poll. Only the Mason-Dixon has Romney in the 30s (30%), with the rest polling Romney in the 20s. Mason-Dixon does have Romney winning by 8.
I looked closely at those polls and the difference seems to be how many crossovers they expected. The Mason-Dixon included 30% dems and indys. The others expected more.
The Iraq War has seemingly gone from foreground to background and the two candidates—McCain and Giuliani—who have based their campaigns on have lost. This issue will return in the general election when we will have a great time with film clips of all the principal Democrats both demanding and declaring defeat.
Rasmussen’s last poll on Michigan:
Michigan Republican Primary
Mitt Romney 26%
John McCain 25%
Mike Huckabee 17%
Fred Thompson 9%
Ron Paul 8%
Rudy Giuliani 6%
He at least had the direction of movement picked up.
Zogby: McCain by 3.
Detroit News: McCain by 1
American Research Group: McCain by 7
You are quoting PRE-ELECTION Polls, not Exit Polls.
Once again GOP Exit Polls were right on.