Nice try at whistling pass the McCain graveyard but you cannot win an Election as a Republican without the Conservative base. McCain would lose Va-Oh-Fla and Co because those closely balanced states require the candidate to turn out the solidly Christan conservative vote to win. McCain cannot do that. His opportunists swing with the breezy political record will cause a good chunk of the Conservative base to stay home in Nov 2008. Why vote for a Republican who will be a Democrat in everything but name in his policy agenda?
You are confusing national likability polls with election results. Elections are won in the States due to the Electoral College, they are not won by just who is the most likable candidate. McCain may do well in terms of votes, he cannot win on the state by state board facing the GOP in Nov 2008