[andy58-in-nh]

I agree with you: I do not think that John McCain will ultimately win the Republican nomination, and I base that on roughly 40 years of political observation (for whatever that's worth!) The major candidates have strong regional - but not national - bases of support: Huckabee in the Southeast; McCain in the Northeast and Southwest; Romney in the East and Midwest; Guiliani in Florida and California. It would not at all surprise me to get through May or June without any of these candidates having amassed a majority of delegates.

Then there's the wild card: Fred Thompson. He's the only candidate with a national (but shallow, so far) base of support. If we get into the summer without a clear consensus Republican candidate, I think a "dark horse" will try to make a move. It might be Fred, or it might be someone completely out of the game right now. Fasten your seat belt. ;-)

[BlueHorseShoe]

"...If we get into the summer without a clear consensus Republican candidate, I think a "dark horse" will try to make a move. It might be Fred, or it might be someone completely out of the game right now. Fasten your seat belt..."

Do you harbor any hope that the brilliant Newt Gingrich could still get into this race or see any way that could happen?