I live in NH, have worked for the state GOP...
But I am not a great predictor. My observations are just from where I live in central NH (most of the media is focused on the more populated Southern portion of the state.)
Obama is peaking at the right time. He will win by at least 10.
McCain will win by 6
Romney
Huckabee
Paul
Rudy
A third place showing is good for Huckabee, as he spent little time and money here and the population of evangelicals is rather small, as is typical in the Northeast. One poll shows Romney ahead by one point, and he surely needs the win here. Giuliani may be embarrassed again by polling less than Ron Paul, as in Iowa.
Just think, Rudy had name recognition that most candidates could only dream of,,,,name recognition that million and millions of dollars could not buy,,,
spent $5 million in NH,,,
and made 40 trips to NH!!!
The debates really hurt Rudy--as they have all highlighted Rudy out-of-touch social liberalism,,,and gave exposure to two people (Huck and Paul) that virtually no one had ever heard of. Amazing. Absolutely amazing.