Fred will probably be third over McCain. The media is buzzing about McCain but I don’t see many or any Iowans buzzing about him. His campaign here is weak to say the least.
Obama will win the Dems I predict. He has the Mo for sure. We will see if his organization turns out the faithful.
I consider McCain to be everybody’s sentimental favorite. Everybody, of course, who doesn’t know any better. The unofficial endorsement of the MSM just adds to his advantages. But he will place in the top 3 for his military record. IMO.
Obama does have the big Mo, but Edwards does too. Hillary has zero momentum. Her support has always been flat. Her supporters are “crawl over broken glass Clintonistas”, but this number is static. Support for Obama/Edwards can rise and fall. Turnout is going to be the key. I think she will place 3rd, but will live to fight another day. She will never, never, never give up.