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To: shrinkermd

I want to know when mortgage rates will go down. They’ve been around 6% for a while now. When will the rate cuts affect mortgage rates?


33 posted on 12/28/2007 12:55:41 PM PST by rintense (Thompson/Hunter 2008!)
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To: rintense
When will the rate cuts affect mortgage rates?

The rate cuts may never affect mortgage rates. The fed has been lowering rates to juice the market's liquidity, but at the same time lenders are demanding a wider spread on mortgages. Mortgage rates have come down some, but I wouldn't count on rate cuts pushing them down much more.

For a long time, we had an inverted yield curve, meaning long term rates (like mortgages) were lower than the Fed's short term rates. The curve is steepening again, but it still has a ways to go. In other words, we may actually see rates on mortgages rising at the same time the Fed funds rate is going down.
53 posted on 12/28/2007 1:49:34 PM PST by VegasCowboy ("...he wore his gun outside his pants, for all the honest world to feel.")
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To: rintense
I want to know when mortgage rates will go down. They’ve been around 6% for a while now. When will the rate cuts affect mortgage rates?

I remember about 30-35 years ago being told that the then-current interest rates (10%) were the lowest I would ever see in my life, and I would be a fool to pass them up.

74 posted on 12/28/2007 2:47:10 PM PST by gitmo (From now on, ending a sentence with a preposition is something up with which I will not put.)
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To: rintense
I want to know when mortgage rates will go down. They’ve been around 6% for a while now. When will the rate cuts affect mortgage rates?

I'm sure you're serious, but you cannot believe how funny that sounds to somebody who has been in the business for 30+ years.

When I started my career at a bank in 1976, rates were at 8.5%. Within a couple of years they went over 10% and at the time I theorized that rates would NEVER be in the single digits again. By 1982 rates were over 18% and all you could get were FHA-245 (5-year graduated payment, negative amortization) loans.

When rates dropped down to 11% in 1986 I was taking mortgage applications at my office all night, often until midnight, nearly every night for months. It was insanity. When rates went up a little in the early '90s, foreclosures increased, prices dropped, and it was the end of the world. (yawn) Then voila!, rates dropped again, and all I could do was shake my head when they dropped below 10%, blowing out my long-ago prediction.

As rates crept downward throughout the late '90s and early 2000s I threw up my hands and just went with the flow - - finally refinancing my own house a few years ago (at what rate I don't remember and don't care - - 5%, 6%, 7% whatever....). I remain completely flummoxed that rates ever got below 10%. Below 8%. Below 6%. It is head-shakingly unbelievable for anybody who has been involved in the mortgage business for several decades, believe me.

I have said before and maintain to this day that ANY casual homeowner or home purchaser who took out an adjustable-rate mortgage during the past 10 years is a friggin moron.

And so, that is why I found your question amusing.
6%. Yikes.

FRegards,
LH

94 posted on 12/28/2007 8:52:09 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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