A strong showing in Iowa is all it will take to get the ball really rolling. A strong second or, if lightning strikes a weak first, would so shock the MSM that Fred! would have more free media than he would know what to do with and his national numbers would change with the increased coverage.
I feel that if Fred can get 1) at least 3rd, 2)over 20%, and 3) within 5% of 2nd place, that will blow people’s socks off. We shall see.
What gets more intersting is if Huckabee wins IA, McCain wins NH and Romney Michigan, if Fred can concentrate on SC and FLA and win one or hopefully both, he’d be sitting good for super Tuesday.